Victoria’s rushed back in with a vengeance

15 06 2009

So, after not reporting for a week, Victoria has gone and reported 199 new cases, all in one go, today. So, the graphs look alarming. I’ve updated them and put them at the top of this blog as usual. Or you can click here.

Nonetheless, if you look at the other states, we have had our highest ever rise in new cases today. The rest of Australia has reported 109 new cases today, taking the total for the rest of Australia (ex Vic) to 613. With Vic added in, we are now at 1,823 cases.

The graph below shows new cases reported daily, excluding Victoria, and puts today’s rise in perspective (this graph is also shown in the “Australian Graphs” page, above, and is regularly updated there):

Swine flu NEW cases Australia ex Vic

Victoria now seems to be reporting weekly. The other thing to note is that they don’t seem to be testing as much. Dr Danko said in one of his comments today that sub-typing of Influenza A cases may not be being done at all in Victoria now. Not sure that’s quite right, given these new figures that have just been reported, but nonetheless Victoria does seem to have cut back on the amount of testing it’s doing. For example, in the “Health Professionals’ Alert” that Dr Danko’s previously pointed us to, the testing guideline for the new Sustain phase requires testing only when a patient is “at risk”. It doesn’t seem to require testing for other people. Here is what this testing guideline says:

Who should be tested?

Testing is highly recommended for:

• Symptomatic patients with severe clinical disease (i.e. hospitalised)

• Symptomatic students or staff who attend a special development school, those <12months and attend a childcare centre or residents in a residential aged care facility

• Symptomatic HCW’s who have managed high risk patients during their infectious period.

High risk patients can be categorised as: pregnant women, the immuno-suppressed, those with chronic cardio-pulmonary disease, metabolic disease such as diabetes, or morbid obesity.




One response

16 06 2009

That’s what they decided here in the US a few weeks ago. I understand they can’t test everyone because it’s just too expensive. Here, if you get influenza you know it’s swine, but in the Southern Hemisphere it would be valuable to know how much is H1N1 swine from the other influenzas.

Going to weekly test reports makes the charts look alarming, even more so if you realize they aren’t testing as much.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: