Implied mortality rate continues to fall – updated graph

As we get more data in, the implied mortality rate of this virus continues to fall. Since I last did this graph (as at 7 days ago) the implied mortality rate has fallen 0.08% to 0.41%. That’s over a 16% reduction in a week. For a full discussion on what I mean by “implied mortality rates”, including an explanation about why a falling “implied mortality rate” does not necessarily mean the virus is getting weaker, refer here.

First Australian death

Information on the first person to die with Swine Flu in Australia:

• From Crof’s blog (H5N1): here and here.
• The ABC site has some good coverage here.

Note that the ABC is quoting the Australian Health Minister as saying:

“Whilst this is the first recorded death in Australia of a person who had swine flu, it is unclear whether that was a direct or contributing cause to the death,” …

The person apparently had other health issues.

Large global increase – 19th June

WHO’s latest update (update 51 as at 19th June) shows another large jump (4,667 in under two days). I’ve updated the global graphs at the top of this blog so you can get a sense of its size. I’ve also managed to update the Australian graphs to 19th June. And I’ve taken Vic’s suggestion and made the scales the same on each type of the Australian graphs for the whole country and for the country excluding Victoria. Let me know what you think.